Throwing Scottish independence into the electoral debate benefits the SNP and penalises the Labour, according to a study by the European University Institute conducted at the University of Edinburgh.
When the three main Westminster parties – Conservatives, Labour and Lib Dems – directly attack the SNP and make explicit reference to the issue of independence in their electoral arguments, Scottish voters are more likely to vote for the SNP, instead of stepping away from it. On the other hand, framing the electoral competition in relation to Scottish independence slightly reduces the support for Westminster parties, and especially for the Labour, among Scottish voters. The results of the study, however, suggest that these “lost” Labour votes do not go directly to the SNP, but mostly to other parties, including the Lib Dems and the Green party.
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