Appendix – Why the results cannot be driven by stronger pro-independence arguments

The following table provides further clarification on why the results of our study cannot be driven by the fact that pro-independence arguments were more convincing than opposite arguements.

Results indicate:
1. A strong correlation between voting intentions and evaluation of the information material: those who intend to vote Yes consider pro-independence arguments more convincing than opposite arguments, and vice versa

2. This correlation does not apply to undecided voters. In this case, arguments from both sides are evaluated almost as equally strong, and the difference in the rating is not statistically significant.

3. If all subjects are considered, the difference in the rating is small and statistically significant only at the aggregated level (all groups) and in the control group (CG). However, in both these two cases pro-independence arguments are evaluated as less convincing than against-independence arguments, thus ruling out the possibility that the increase in the likelihood to vote Yes is actually driven by pro-arguments being more convincing than the opposite arguments.

Rating of the arguments







(Download the table in PDF)

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